Day 17: Zoom Out – The Power of the Outside View

Your “unique” situation may not be as unique as you think.

THINGS TO CONSIDER

KEY INSIGHT: The “inside view” focuses on our unique situation and optimistic projections. The “outside view” asks: “What happened to others in similar situations?” Both perspectives matter, but we chronically underuse the outside view.
PERSONAL REFLECTION: Think of a current decision where you’re feeling particularly optimistic. What would someone with no emotional investment in the outcome predict about your chances?
TODAY’S EXERCISE: Choose one important decision you’re facing. Research similar cases or precedents. What patterns emerge? What does the “base rate” of success look like? How does this change your perspective?